Poll: Updated Numbers for Republican Governor and Treasurer

Poll Shows Large Amounts of Voters Undecided in Race for Illinois Governor

A poll conducted by the Battleground Polling Group found 45% of voters remain undecided in the race for the Republican nomination for Governor and Lieutenant Governor. This continues the trend from the first poll released in June by Battleground Polling Group, an independent polling group.

With 45% of voters undecided, current State Treasurer Dan Rutherford leads decided voters with 18% of likely voters, followed by current State Senator Bill Brady with 13%, with State Senator Kirk Dillard and businessman Bruce Raunner close behind, each with the support of 12% of likely voters.

“This early in the game, it is not unexpected for undecided to be leading the way in the race for the GOP nomination,” said Battleground Polling Group president Dennis Cook.

Among respondents who identified as members of a Tea Party organization, Bill Brady opens up a lead among decided voters, earning 29% of the vote.

Undecided voters also are leading the way in the contest for the Republican nomination for State Treasurer, with 60% of voters still undecided. Of voters who have made a decision, former House Minority Leader Tom Cross is opening up a lead over Dupage County Auditor Bob Grogan, with Mr. Cross earning the support of 27% of voters, and Mr. Grogan earning the support of 13% of voters.

“Certainly, Tom Cross is in a solid position as we move into the winter campaign season,” said Cook. “But, with 60% of voters still undecided, Bob Grogan still has room to pick up more support as the campaign moves into full swing.”

Among Tea Party members, Tom Cross expands his lead over Bob Grogan to 31% to 9%.

You can view the poll results here: November Republican Primary Poll Results

To obtain its results, Battleground surveyed 535 randomly selected registered voters who participated in each of the last three Republican Primary Elections through automated telephone calls and an online survey method. The margin of error for each survey is +/- 3.97 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. The Poll was conducted from November 3 – November 11.

Battleground Polling Group, led by Dennis Cook and Christopher Ford, M.Ed., conducts public opinion polls throughout the state of Illinois as a public service and for research. For more information, visit www.battlegroundpolling.com.

  1. Looking at the 2014 Republican candidates for Governor and Lieutenant Governor, for whom would you vote?
  Brady Dillard Rutherford Rauner UND
Male 16.53% 16.53 13.22 11.57 42.15
Female 13.04 11.18 13.04 6.83 55.90
Tea 29.17 0.00 16.67 8.33 45.83
Not Tea 13.03 14.44 13.73 8.10 50.70
Conserv 16.55 8.28 13.10 6.90 55.17
Moderate 13.04 14.13 14.13 9.78 48.91
Fiscal 10.87 23.91 13.04 10.87 41.30
Social 12.00 20.00 20.00 4.00 44.00
Organized GOP Member 25.00 25.00 25.00 3.57 21.43
Not Organized GOP Member 13.21 12.14 12.86 8.57 53.21
18-25 0.00 25.00 25.00 0.00 50.00
26-35 16.67 16.67 0.00 0.00 66.67
36-45 18.18 9.09 27.27 9.09 36.36
46-55 6.45 12.90 9.68 16.13 54.84
56-54 12.20 14.63 9.76 12.20 51.22
65+ 16.58 12.83 13.90 7.49 49.20
  1. Looking at the 2014 Illinois Republican Party candidates for Treasurer, for whom would you vote for?
  Grogan Cross UND
Male 9.09 23.97 66.94
Female 9.94 12.42 77.64
Tea 9.09 31.82 59.09
Not Tea 9.36 17.23 73.41
Conserv 10.95 16.79 72.26
Moderate 7.06 12.94 80.00
Fiscal 6.67 31.11 62.22
Social 13.64 22.73 63.64
Organized GOP Member 19.23 38.46 42.31
Not OrganizedGOP Member 8.37 16.35 75.29
18-25 25.00 25.00 50.00
26-35 66.67 0.00 33.33
36-45 0.00 36.36 63.64
46-55 16.13 16.13 67.74
56-54 9.76 14.63 75.61
65+ 6.95 17.11 75.94

 

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